After a really solid and pandemic best $70M launch last weekend, F9: The Fast Saga had some decent holds on the weekdays and ended up with $93M. This means the movie will fly past Godzilla vs Kong ($100.5M) this weekend and more than likely end up around $120M domestic by Sunday.

The weekdays weren’t amazing, as on Tuesday when most movies tick up from Monday F9 didn’t, but it still made $4.9M on Thursday, despite new movies like The Forever Purge and Zola being out now. The Boss Baby 2: Family Business opened today as (and also on Peacock). None of these should make too much of a challenge for F9 this weekend, which should pull in between $25M and $30M.

The biggest competitor should be Boss Baby 2, which I hope makes in the $15M range at least, but could easily get to $20M+ since the original flick earned $50.2M on opening weekend and finished with $175M domestic. That’s not remotely in the cards for the sequel, but still, kids wanna see movies too and it’s a holiday weekend. It should do well.

However, I wouldn’t be surprised to see The Forever Purge get off to a nice start and end up with $20M+ this weekend, even if it’s looking more like somewhere around $10M right now due to social media trends and hype levels.

Still, The Purge franchise has been successful specifically because of strong opening weekends. The original opened with $34M, Anarchy debuted with $29.8M, Election Year had $31.5M in 3-days and even The First Purge made $31.2M over its five day opening weekend (it opened on July 4th, 2018, a Wednesday). I also think that not having had a Purge movie in three years will help, in conjunction with a new hook (the purge is just life now). We’ll see what it can do.

Otherwise expect A Quiet Place 2 to be fourth with a decent hold yet again and for other movies to slip a bit due to competition.

It’s exciting to have so much to talk about with new movies in theaters again!

Published by Seth Dayrich

Founder of WSYS and writer of two motion pictures (Catching Summer, Dan's Humongous Apartment) and a play (The Restaurant Tango). View all posts by Seth Dayrich